Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.036072 0.041935 0.048450 0.056225 0.065255 0.075415 0.087721
2025-11-30 0.027220 0.034968 0.044465 0.056966 0.073004 0.092909 0.119533
2025-12-07 0.021471 0.029767 0.040729 0.056280 0.077809 0.106616 0.148192
2025-12-14 0.017354 0.025611 0.037210 0.054711 0.080499 0.117200 0.173588
2025-12-21 0.014378 0.022392 0.034262 0.053144 0.082510 0.126585 0.198064
2025-12-28 0.012730 0.020800 0.033329 0.054226 0.088328 0.142002 0.233359
2026-01-04 0.011244 0.019190 0.032068 0.054492 0.092723 0.155557 0.267316
2026-01-11 0.010002 0.017772 0.030873 0.054609 0.096748 0.168828 0.302362
2026-01-18 0.009072 0.016737 0.030147 0.055365 0.101858 0.184416 0.343303
2026-01-25 0.008378 0.016013 0.029845 0.056782 0.108250 0.202920 0.391790
2026-02-01 0.007351 0.014527 0.027961 0.055002 0.108434 0.210039 0.419746
2026-02-08 0.006644 0.013556 0.026905 0.054637 0.111222 0.222294 0.459100
2026-02-15 0.005984 0.012603 0.025791 0.054063 0.113632 0.234324 0.500112
2026-02-22 0.005562 0.012082 0.025472 0.055073 0.119416 0.253869 0.559463
2026-03-01 0.005038 0.011272 0.024455 0.054469 0.121695 0.266400 0.605438
2026-03-08 0.004501 0.010362 0.023109 0.052962 0.121785 0.274218 0.641959
2026-03-15 0.004029 0.009535 0.021837 0.051448 0.121642 0.281459 0.678071
2026-03-22 0.003796 0.009228 0.021690 0.052495 0.127537 0.303049 0.750806
2026-03-29 0.003532 0.008811 0.021235 0.052753 0.131579 0.320811 0.816659
2026-04-05 0.003284 0.008402 0.020748 0.052866 0.135274 0.338181 0.883876
2026-04-12 0.003095 0.008115 0.020522 0.053598 0.140609 0.360214 0.966011
2026-04-19 0.002955 0.007937 0.020545 0.054970 0.147767 0.387704 1.066237
2026-04-26 0.002672 0.007345 0.019443 0.053246 0.146542 0.393458 1.108681